Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 24.566117 27.950070 31.650731 36.001422 40.980730 46.506696 53.111644
2024-12-29 19.495840 24.066525 29.502861 36.460065 45.149188 55.672029 69.426569
2025-01-05 15.972665 21.059192 27.534670 36.415602 48.331742 63.841976 85.683599
2025-01-12 13.150464 18.310331 25.260826 35.360938 49.754380 69.666109 99.539739
2025-01-19 11.240220 16.402384 23.702883 34.856987 51.608178 76.049767 114.820601
2025-01-26 10.228646 15.570075 23.463161 36.083043 55.961445 86.412337 137.250527
2025-02-02 9.523858 15.065124 23.587900 37.793089 61.170961 98.626278 164.193393
2025-02-09 8.681352 14.216659 23.043768 38.321590 64.487578 108.163421 188.016006
2025-02-16 7.723326 13.050575 21.828856 37.552115 65.478301 113.872763 205.955821
2025-02-23 6.934752 12.065884 20.783864 36.909124 66.545256 119.750351 224.883963
2025-03-02 6.282748 11.236535 19.899580 36.417485 67.774864 125.992841 245.251567
2025-03-09 5.792379 10.635964 19.343693 36.438535 69.919806 134.130138 270.336515
2025-03-16 5.311544 10.016876 18.716724 36.311048 71.885356 142.411234 297.471575
2025-03-23 5.061109 9.805593 18.830489 37.640909 76.926542 157.491962 341.244178
2025-03-30 4.712639 9.363688 18.449208 37.929739 79.874733 168.686340 378.405851
2025-04-06 4.268811 8.680977 17.513553 36.953468 80.009607 173.917348 402.959356
2025-04-13 3.925560 8.164477 16.854252 36.472423 81.135538 181.410867 433.857199
2025-04-20 3.780362 8.046227 17.007586 37.776350 86.422713 198.967463 491.785833
2025-04-27 3.686094 8.026026 17.365238 39.577756 93.091663 220.640140 563.554055
2025-05-04 3.497234 7.776645 17.193332 40.135198 96.873111 235.913417 621.359647
2025-05-11 3.223978 7.308346 16.481413 39.328711 97.211098 242.734473 657.751240
2025-05-18 2.985740 6.896143 15.854942 38.654312 97.791698 250.244422 697.290786
2025-05-25 2.779504 6.538117 15.318127 38.138517 98.713382 258.766097 741.142087